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Senate Aggregate Simulations

444648505254565860MAJORITY (50)GOP Majority Probability91.9%Movement(Since Last Model)+0.15% D

Individual Senate Seats

The chart below displays the probability chance of Republicans winning individual races. The higher the probability, the higher the chance of a Republican win in the race.
GOP Majority Probability
0%10%25%40%60%75%90%100%MONVAZINFLWVMS*TXTNMTNDMINJMN*UTVAPAOHWINEMSWAMENMWYCTMNVTRIMADEHINYMDCA
* indicates a special election

11/06

MODEL NOTES

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Senate Seats By State

The map below shows the GOP win probability (from blue to red, with purple being toss up states) in each state that has a Senate election. If a state has a special election like Minnesota it will be split in half to represent both senate seats up for re-election.
GOP Win Probability10%25%40%60%75%90%
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